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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bukovyna v Vorskla Poltava: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine · Bukovyna Stadium
5–0
FT
Bukovyna 74%Draw 17%Vorskla Poltava 9% Expected goals 2.16 – 0.66
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.46Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.39 – our chance 50% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBukovyna to win ✓74% · @1.13
Double chanceBukovyna or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bukovyna welcome Vorskla Poltava to Bukovyna Stadium for a Persha Liga fixture on Saturday 9 May (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Bukovyna, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Podillya Khmelnytskyi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Vorskla Poltava, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chernihiv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Bukovyna, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Vorskla Poltava.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bukovyna 2.2 xG, Vorskla Poltava 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bukovyna 74%, draw 17%, Vorskla Poltava 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.39.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.39 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bukovyna 2–0 Vorskla Poltava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bukovyna74%fair 1.36 · @1.13
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @6.45
Vorskla Poltava9%fair 11.00 · @13.75
2.82Expected goals
2.16Bukovyna xG
0.66Vorskla Poltava xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bukovyna 2.2 – 0.7 Vorskla Poltava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BukovynaVorskla Poltava
Attack vs Persha Liga average+38%-15%
Goals conceded vs average-17%+7%
Our expected goals here2.230.77

Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBukovyna to win ✓74%1.361.13
Double chanceBukovyna or draw ✓91%1.10–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.39 ▲
Draw no betBukovyna (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapBukovyna -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.46
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.16
First team to scoreBukovyna to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultBukovyna ahead at half-time51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bukovyna / FT Bukovyna48%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Bukovyna – last 6

WWLWWW
2 May@ Podillya Khmelnytskyi2–0W
26 Aprvs Nyva Ternopil1–0W
21 Aprvs Dynamo Kyiv0–3L
17 Apr@ Metal Kharkiv2–1W
12 Aprvs Yarud Mariupol'2–1W
8 Aprvs Livyi Bereh2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Vorskla Poltava – last 5

WLLLW
26 Apr@ Chernihiv2–1W
12 Apr@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka0–1L
8 Aprvs Probiy Horodenka0–2L
4 Apr@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–2L
29 Marvs Inhulets2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bukovyna and Vorskla Poltava.

Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava?

On our numbers Bukovyna have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Vorskla Poltava 9%.

How many goals will there be in Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava?

Our predicted score is Bukovyna 2–0 Vorskla Poltava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava?

Bukovyna vs Vorskla Poltava (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukovyna Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.