Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vorskla Poltava welcome Metal Kharkiv to Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho for a Persha Liga fixture on Sunday 17 May (10:00 WAT).
Current form
Vorskla Poltava, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Bukovyna, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Metal Kharkiv, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Podillya Khmelnytskyi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Metal Kharkiv, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Vorskla Poltava.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vorskla Poltava 1.1 xG, Metal Kharkiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vorskla Poltava 34%, draw 28%, Metal Kharkiv 38%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vorskla Poltava 0–1 Metal Kharkiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vorskla Poltava34%fair 2.95 · @2.75
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @2.90
Metal Kharkiv38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
2.30Expected goals
1.10Vorskla Poltava xG
1.19Metal Kharkiv xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.1 – 1.2 Metal Kharkiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vorskla Poltava
Metal Kharkiv
Attack vs Persha Liga average
-15%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.18
1.27
Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metal Kharkiv to win✗
38%
2.61
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Draw no bet
Metal Kharkiv (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Vorskla Poltava +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Metal Kharkiv to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metal Kharkiv / FT Metal Kharkiv✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.34
–
Recent results
Vorskla Poltava – last 6
LWLLLW
9 May
@ Bukovyna
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Chernihiv
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Probiy Horodenka
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Inhulets
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Metal Kharkiv – last 6
WLLWDW
9 May
vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3–0
W
17 Apr
vs Bukovyna
1–2
L
13 Apr
@ Livyi Bereh
0–3
L
7 Apr
vs Chernihiv
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Prykarpattia
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Metal Kharkiv.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Metal Kharkiv 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 0–1 Metal Kharkiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv?
Vorskla Poltava vs Metal Kharkiv (Persha Liga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi1