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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Metal Kharkiv v UCSA: numbers & prediction

Persha Liga · Ukraine · Stadion Avanhard
2–0
FT

UCSA

LLWDL
Metal Kharkiv 58%Draw 25%UCSA 17% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.84
58%
Betarazi pick

Metal Kharkiv to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultMetal Kharkiv to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceMetal Kharkiv or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Saturday 23 May: Metal Kharkiv v UCSA in the Persha Liga, played at Stadion Avanhard. In the table, Metal Kharkiv are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; UCSA are 12th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Metal Kharkiv, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vorskla Poltava, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

UCSA, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Livyi Bereh, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Metal Kharkiv 1.7 xG, UCSA 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Metal Kharkiv 58%, draw 25%, UCSA 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Metal Kharkiv or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Metal Kharkiv to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metal Kharkiv 1–0 UCSA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Metal Kharkiv58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.10
UCSA17%fair 5.87 · @4.50
2.57Expected goals
1.73Metal Kharkiv xG
0.84UCSA xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Metal Kharkiv 1.7 – 0.8 UCSA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Metal KharkivUCSA
Attack vs Persha Liga average+8%-8%
Goals conceded vs average-8%+14%
Our expected goals here1.860.93

Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetal Kharkiv to win ✓58%1.721.70
Double chanceMetal Kharkiv or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.912.00
Draw no betMetal Kharkiv (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapUCSA +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.90–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreMetal Kharkiv to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metal Kharkiv / FT Metal Kharkiv ✓36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Metal Kharkiv – last 6

DWLLWD
17 May@ Vorskla Poltava1–1D
9 Mayvs Podillya Khmelnytskyi3–0W
17 Aprvs Bukovyna1–2L
13 Apr@ Livyi Bereh0–3L
7 Aprvs Chernihiv2–1W
3 Apr@ Prykarpattia0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UCSA – last 6

LLWDLW
8 May@ Livyi Bereh1–3L
2 Mayvs Chernihiv0–2L
25 Apr@ Prykarpattia2–1W
19 Aprvs Viktoriya Mykolaivka1–1D
12 Apr@ Probiy Horodenka0–1L
8 Aprvs Ahrobiznes Volochysk2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Metal Kharkiv and UCSA.

Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA head-to-head page →

Persha Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Viktoriya Mykolaivka15942+1031
2Yarud Mariupol'15843+928
3Oleksandria15762+927
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk14824+626
5Kulykiv15744+1125
6SK Poltava15735+1124
7Nyva Ternopil15573+622
8Metal Kharkiv15636+321
9Lokomotiv Kyiv15555020
10Inhulets14536-418
11Prykarpattia15456-517
12UCSA15366-515
13Kolos Kovalivka II14419-1413
14Probiy Horodenka15258-2011
15Chernihiv12246-610
16Polissya II15168-119

More Persha Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA?

Our pick is Metal Kharkiv to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA?

On our numbers Metal Kharkiv have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and UCSA 17%.

How many goals will there be in Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA?

Our predicted score is Metal Kharkiv 1–0 UCSA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA?

Metal Kharkiv vs UCSA (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Avanhard.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.