Double chanceVorskla Poltava or draw ✓80% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.09
Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: Vorskla Poltava v Podillya Khmelnytskyi in the Persha Liga, played at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Current form
Vorskla Poltava, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nyva Ternopil, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Yarud Mariupol', at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Vorskla Poltava, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vorskla Poltava 1.3 xG, Podillya Khmelnytskyi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vorskla Poltava 52%, draw 27%, Podillya Khmelnytskyi 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vorskla Poltava to win (52%, odds 1.89). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vorskla Poltava52%fair 1.91 · @1.89
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.30
Podillya Khmelnytskyi20%fair 4.88 · @4.10
2.10Expected goals
1.34Vorskla Poltava xG
0.76Podillya Khmelnytskyi xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.3 – 0.8 Podillya Khmelnytskyi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Vorskla Poltava
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Attack vs Persha Liga average
-15%
-31%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.33
0.81
Our own ratings from every Persha Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vorskla Poltava to win✗
52%
1.91
1.89
Double chance
Vorskla Poltava or draw✓
80%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Vorskla Poltava (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Podillya Khmelnytskyi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Vorskla Poltava to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vorskla Poltava / FT Vorskla Poltava✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.09
–
Recent results
Vorskla Poltava – last 6
DDLWLL
23 May
@ Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
17 May
vs Metal Kharkiv
1–1
D
9 May
@ Bukovyna
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Chernihiv
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Probiy Horodenka
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Podillya Khmelnytskyi – last 6
DLLLLD
23 May
vs Yarud Mariupol'
0–0
D
17 May
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–2
L
9 May
@ Metal Kharkiv
0–3
L
2 May
vs Bukovyna
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Livyi Bereh
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Chernihiv
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Our pick is Vorskla Poltava to win with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.89.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Podillya Khmelnytskyi 20%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
