Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Atromitos to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtromitos to win ✓38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 12.28
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Asteras Tripolis welcome Atromitos to Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium for a Super League 1 fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Asteras Tripolis are 11th, lower half, on 7 points after 10 matches; Atromitos are 12th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Asteras Tripolis 1.0 xG, Atromitos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Asteras Tripolis 34%, draw 28%, Atromitos 38%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Atromitos to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Atromitos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Asteras Tripolis34%fair 2.90 · @2.37
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Atromitos38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
2.28Expected goals
1.04Asteras Tripolis xG
1.23Atromitos xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Asteras Tripolis 1.0 – 1.2 Atromitos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atromitos to win✓
38%
2.64
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Atromitos (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Asteras Tripolis +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Atromitos to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atromitos / FT Atromitos✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
Asteras Tripolis
No recent results on record.
Atromitos – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Panserraikos
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos.
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
On our numbers Asteras Tripolis have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Atromitos 38%.
How many goals will there be in Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Our predicted score is Asteras Tripolis 1–1 Atromitos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos?
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos (Super League 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
