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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Farnborough v Chelmsford City: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Saunders Transport Community Stadium
4–2
FT
Farnborough 22%Draw 21%Chelmsford City 57% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.91
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Chelmsford City to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultChelmsford City to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Farnborough vs Chelmsford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chelmsford City travel to face Farnborough on Wednesday 25 March in the National League South, with Saunders Transport Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Farnborough are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Chelmsford City are 8th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Farnborough, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dagenham & Redbridge, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Chelmsford City, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Slough Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Farnborough 1.0 xG, Chelmsford City 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Farnborough 22%, draw 21%, Chelmsford City 57%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Chelmsford City to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Farnborough 1–1 Chelmsford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Farnborough22%fair 4.50 · @3.45
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.55
Chelmsford City57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
2.96Expected goals
1.05Farnborough xG
1.91Chelmsford City xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Farnborough 1.0 – 1.9 Chelmsford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelmsford City to win ✗57%1.771.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.53
Draw no betChelmsford City (draw no bet) ✗72%1.39–
Asian handicapFarnborough +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.561.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.22–
First team to scoreChelmsford City to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultChelmsford City ahead at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelmsford City / FT Chelmsford City ✗36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Farnborough – last 5

LWDWL
17 Marvs Dagenham & Redbridge2–3L
10 Mar@ Bath City1–0W
3 Mar@ Torquay2–2D
25 Febvs Chippenham Town2–1W
21 Febvs Enfield Town0–5L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Chelmsford City – last 5

WDWDD
16 Marvs Slough Town2–0W
10 Mar@ Dorking Wanderers1–1D
23 Febvs Hemel Hempstead Town1–0W
21 Febvs Salisbury2–2D
16 Febvs Maidstone Utd1–1D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Farnborough and Chelmsford City.

Farnborough vs Chelmsford City head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

On our numbers Farnborough have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chelmsford City 57%.

How many goals will there be in Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

Our predicted score is Farnborough 1–1 Chelmsford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Farnborough vs Chelmsford City?

Farnborough vs Chelmsford City (National League South) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.