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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Weston-super-Mare v Hemel Hempstead Town: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · The Optima Stadium
Weston-super-Mare 43%Draw 26%Hemel Hempstead Town 31% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.01
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25

Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Weston-super-Mare v Hemel Hempstead Town in the National League South, played at The Optima Stadium. In the table, Weston-super-Mare are 14th, lower half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Weston-super-Mare, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Worthing, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Hemel Hempstead Town, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Bath City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hemel Hempstead Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Weston-super-Mare.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Weston-super-Mare 1.4 xG, Hemel Hempstead Town 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Weston-super-Mare 43%, draw 26%, Hemel Hempstead Town 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Weston-super-Mare43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Hemel Hempstead Town31%fair 3.23 · @2.62
2.41Expected goals
1.40Weston-super-Mare xG
1.01Hemel Hempstead Town xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Weston-super-Mare 1.4 – 1.0 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWeston-super-Mare to win ✗43%2.342.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betWeston-super-Mare (draw no bet)58%1.72–
Asian handicapHemel Hempstead Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreWeston-super-Mare to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Weston-super-Mare / FT Weston-super-Mare ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

Weston-super-Mare – last 6

LLWLDD
24 Marvs Worthing2–3L
17 Marvs Tonbridge Angels0–1L
10 Marvs AFC Totton1–0W
3 Mar@ Maidstone Utd1–2L
24 Feb@ Bath City0–0D
21 Feb@ Dover1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hemel Hempstead Town – last 4

WWLL
24 Mar@ Bath City3–0W
10 Marvs Chippenham Town3–2W
23 Feb@ Chelmsford City0–1L
21 Feb@ Horsham0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Weston-super-Mare and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town head-to-head page →

National League South table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ebbsfleet United161051+2635
2Maidstone Utd161024+932
3Salisbury15942+1731
4Truro City14932+1530
5Farnham Town16925+1229
6Dorking Wanderers15762+1127
7Billericay Town14752+1626
8Chelmsford City165101+825
9Dagenham & Redbridge16745+225
10Tonbridge Angels16736+924
11Torquay15654+723
12Horsham16574+422
13Dover14644+122
14Weston-super-Mare15636+321
15Folkestone Invicta15555+420
16AFC Totton16619-1219
17Farnborough16529-2017
18Maidenhead16376-516
19Braintree165110-1816
20Hemel Hempstead Town17368-1115
21Chesham United153210-1311
22Hampton & Richmond162410-1810
23Walton & Hersham152211-258
24Slough Town162113-227

More National League South predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

On our numbers Weston-super-Mare have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Hemel Hempstead Town 31%.

How many goals will there be in Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Our predicted score is Weston-super-Mare 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Weston-super-Mare vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Optima Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.