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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v AFC Hornchurch: numbers & prediction

National League South · England · Crabble Athletic Ground

AFC Hornchurch

Dover 29%Draw 26%AFC Hornchurch 45% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.43

76%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Hornchurch to win ✗45% · @1.91

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Dover vs AFC Hornchurch: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 24 February: Dover v AFC Hornchurch in the National League South, played at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.3 xG, AFC Hornchurch 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 29%, draw 26%, AFC Hornchurch 45%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–1 AFC Hornchurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover29%fair 3.46 · @3.50

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.40

AFC Hornchurch45%fair 2.20 · @1.91

2.75Expected goals

1.32Dover xG

1.43AFC Hornchurch xG

58%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–27%

From our goals model: Dover 1.3 – 1.4 AFC Hornchurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	AFC Hornchurch to win ✗	45%	2.20	1.91
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.72	1.57
Draw no bet	AFC Hornchurch (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Dover +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	AFC Hornchurch to score first	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.40	–
Half-time / full-time	HT AFC Hornchurch / FT AFC Hornchurch ✗	23%	4.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.59	–

Recent results

Dover – last 1

21 Feb

vs Weston-super-Mare

1–1

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

AFC Hornchurch – last 2

21 Feb	@ AFC Totton	0–1	L
17 Feb	@ Dorking Wanderers	0–1	L

0.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dover and AFC Hornchurch.

Dover vs AFC Hornchurch head-to-head page →

National League South table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

More National League South predictions

League hub

AFC Totton1

Slough Town1 144%2.20X24%3.40232%2.85 1.7–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓

Bath City0

Weston-super-Mare0 134%2.70X29%3.00237%2.55 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓

Chesham United0

Dagenham & Redbridge1 137%2.45X27%3.10236%2.70 1.3–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Eastbourne Borough1

Dorking Wanderers2 131%3.90X22%3.85247%1.70 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Horsham1

Ebbsfleet United1 132%2.70X25%3.20243%2.40 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

Maidenhead2

Salisbury1 147%1.40X22%4.10230%6.50 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.25 ✓

Maidstone Utd8

Enfield Town0 157%1.50X23%3.95220%5.50 1.8–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Tonbridge Angels2

Hampton & Richmond0 150%2.15X22%3.35227%3.00 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Dover vs AFC Hornchurch?

On our numbers Dover have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFC Hornchurch 45%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs AFC Hornchurch?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs AFC Hornchurch?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–1 AFC Hornchurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Dover vs AFC Hornchurch?

Dover vs AFC Hornchurch (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Crabble Athletic Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.