Ebbsfleet United v Dover Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEbbsfleet United to win ✓66% · @1.35

Double chanceEbbsfleet United or draw ✓86% · @1.04

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Ebbsfleet United vs Dover: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Dover travel to face Ebbsfleet United on Monday 6 April in the National League South, with Stonebridge Road Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ebbsfleet United are 1st, leading the league, on 35 points after 16 matches; Dover are 13th (lower half) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Ebbsfleet United, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tonbridge Angels, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Dover, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Maidstone Utd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ebbsfleet United 2.1 xG, Dover 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ebbsfleet United 66%, draw 20%, Dover 14%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ebbsfleet United to win (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ebbsfleet United 2–0 Dover. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ebbsfleet United66%fair 1.52 · @1.35

Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.60

Dover14%fair 6.97 · @7.25

3.00Expected goals

2.08Ebbsfleet United xG

0.92Dover xG

60%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

1–010%

2–110%

1–110%

3–07%

3–17%

From our goals model: Ebbsfleet United 2.1 – 0.9 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ebbsfleet United to win ✓	66%	1.52	1.35
Double chance	Ebbsfleet United or draw ✓	86%	1.17	1.04
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.70
Draw no bet	Ebbsfleet United (draw no bet) ✓	82%	1.22	–
Asian handicap	Ebbsfleet United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.22
First team to score	Ebbsfleet United to score first ✓	66%	1.52	–
Half-time result	Ebbsfleet United ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ebbsfleet United / FT Ebbsfleet United ✓	41%	2.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.10	–

Ebbsfleet United – last 6

WWWDLD

3 Apr	@ Tonbridge Angels	2–1	W
17 Mar	@ Maidenhead	3–2	W
10 Mar	@ Eastbourne Borough	3–1	W
24 Feb	@ Horsham	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Chesham United	1–4	L
17 Feb	@ Bath City	2–2	D

2.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

100%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Dover – last 5

LLWWD

3 Apr	vs Maidstone Utd	0–2	L
24 Mar	@ Enfield Town	1–3	L
10 Mar	vs Tonbridge Angels	2–0	W
24 Feb	vs AFC Hornchurch	4–1	W
21 Feb	vs Weston-super-Mare	1–1	D

1.6Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

60%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet United	16	10	5	1	+26	35
2	Maidstone Utd	16	10	2	4	+9	32
3	Salisbury	15	9	4	2	+17	31
4	Truro City	14	9	3	2	+15	30
5	Farnham Town	16	9	2	5	+12	29
6	Dorking Wanderers	15	7	6	2	+11	27
7	Billericay Town	14	7	5	2	+16	26
8	Chelmsford City	16	5	10	1	+8	25
9	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	7	4	5	+2	25
10	Tonbridge Angels	16	7	3	6	+9	24
11	Torquay	15	6	5	4	+7	23
12	Horsham	16	5	7	4	+4	22
13	Dover	14	6	4	4	+1	22
14	Weston-super-Mare	15	6	3	6	+3	21
15	Folkestone Invicta	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	AFC Totton	16	6	1	9	-12	19
17	Farnborough	16	5	2	9	-20	17
18	Maidenhead	16	3	7	6	-5	16
19	Braintree	16	5	1	10	-18	16
20	Hemel Hempstead Town	17	3	6	8	-11	15
21	Chesham United	15	3	2	10	-13	11
22	Hampton & Richmond	16	2	4	10	-18	10
23	Walton & Hersham	15	2	2	11	-25	8
24	Slough Town	16	2	1	13	-22	7

Team

Pts

+26

+17

+15

+12

+11

+16

-12

-20

-5

-18

-11

-13

-18

-25

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

Our pick is Ebbsfleet United to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

On our numbers Ebbsfleet United have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dover 14%.

How many goals will there be in Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

Our predicted score is Ebbsfleet United 2–0 Dover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ebbsfleet United vs Dover?

Ebbsfleet United vs Dover (National League South) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stonebridge Road Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ebbsfleet United v Dover: numbers & prediction