Scarborough Athletic v Hereford Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultScarborough Athletic to win ✗48% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28

Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Scarborough Athletic welcome Hereford to Mounting Systems Stadium for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 3 March (20:45 WAT). In the table, Scarborough Athletic are 20th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Hereford are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hereford, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Chester, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Hereford 1–2 Scarborough Athletic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Scarborough Athletic 1.5 xG, Hereford 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Scarborough Athletic 48%, draw 25%, Hereford 27%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Hereford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Scarborough Athletic48%fair 2.08 · @1.73

Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.70

Hereford27%fair 3.77 · @4.00

2.77Expected goals

1.48Scarborough Athletic xG

1.29Hereford xG

60%Both score

54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–09%

2–19%

0–18%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Scarborough Athletic 1.5 – 1.3 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Scarborough Athletic to win ✗	48%	2.08	1.73
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	75%	1.34	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.65	1.65
Draw no bet	Scarborough Athletic (draw no bet)	64%	1.55	–
Asian handicap	Hereford +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	54%	1.87	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
First team to score	Scarborough Athletic to score first ✗	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Scarborough Athletic / FT Scarborough Athletic ✗	25%	4.06	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.28	–

Scarborough Athletic – last 2

24 Feb	@ Alfreton Town	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Hereford	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Hereford – last 3

WLW

24 Feb	vs Chester	5–2	W
21 Feb	vs Scarborough Athletic	1–2	L
17 Feb	vs Darlington 1883	1–0	W

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford?

On our numbers Scarborough Athletic have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hereford 27%.

How many goals will there be in Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford?

Our predicted score is Scarborough Athletic 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford?

Scarborough Athletic vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mounting Systems Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Scarborough Athletic v Hereford: numbers & prediction