Alfreton Town vs Chorley: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alfreton Town welcome Chorley to The Impact Arena for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 31 March (19:45 WAT).
Current form
Alfreton Town, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Macclesfield, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chorley, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kidderminster Harriers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alfreton Town 1.2 xG, Chorley 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alfreton Town 33%, draw 26%, Chorley 41%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alfreton Town 1–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alfreton Town33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.20
Chorley41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
2.70Expected goals
1.24Alfreton Town xG
1.46Chorley xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.2 – 1.5 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Chorley (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Alfreton Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Chorley to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Alfreton Town – last 6
LWLDLW
24 Mar
vs Macclesfield
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Hereford
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Southport
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Radcliffe
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chorley – last 5
WDLLD
17 Mar
vs Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs South Shields
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Spennymoor Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chorley 41%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Alfreton Town vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Impact Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Fylde2
Kidderminster Harriers1