Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✗80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99
Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Liga 1 brings Persebaya Surabaya against Bhayangkara FC at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Persebaya Surabaya are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Bhayangkara FC are 9th (upper half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 1.5 xG, Bhayangkara FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 54%, draw 26%, Bhayangkara FC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Bhayangkara FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya54%fair 1.85 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.35
Bhayangkara FC20%fair 5.00 · @4.50
2.34Expected goals
1.50Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.84Bhayangkara FC xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.5 – 0.8 Bhayangkara FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.91
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Bhayangkara FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya
No recent results on record.
Bhayangkara FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Bhayangkara FC.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bhayangkara FC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 Bhayangkara FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Bhayangkara FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
