Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Monday 2 March: Persebaya Surabaya v Persib Bandung in the Liga 1, played at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. In the table, Persebaya Surabaya are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Persib Bandung are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 0.9 xG, Persib Bandung 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 23%, draw 28%, Persib Bandung 49%.
Lower-risk option: Persib Bandung or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 Persib Bandung. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya23%fair 4.26 · @3.85
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.30
Persib Bandung49%fair 2.05 · @1.85
2.24Expected goals
0.94Persebaya Surabaya xG
1.30Persib Bandung xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 0.9 – 1.3 Persib Bandung expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persib Bandung to win✗
49%
2.05
1.85
Double chance
Persib Bandung or draw✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Draw no bet
Persib Bandung (draw no bet)
67%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Persib Bandung to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persib Bandung / FT Persib Bandung✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya – last 2
WL
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Persib Bandung – last 2
WW
26 Feb
vs Persepam Madura Utd
5–0
W
18 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Persib Bandung.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Persib Bandung 49%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 Persib Bandung, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.