Arema FC 43%Draw 24%Bali United 33%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.69
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Bali United to win @ 3.65 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultArema FC to win ✗43% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.49
Arema FC vs Bali United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bali United travel to face Arema FC on Friday 6 March in the Liga 1, with Stadion Kanjuruhan the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Arema FC are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Bali United are 3rd (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Arema FC, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pusamania Borneo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arema FC 1.6 xG, Bali United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arema FC 43%, draw 24%, Bali United 33%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Bali United to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arema FC 1–1 Bali United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arema FC43%fair 2.30 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.45
Bali United33%fair 3.03 · @3.65
3.25Expected goals
1.57Arema FC xG
1.69Bali United xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Arema FC 1.6 – 1.7 Bali United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arema FC to win✗
43%
2.30
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Arema FC (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Arema FC +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Bali United to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✓
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Arema FC – last 3
LDW
26 Feb
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Persepam Madura Utd
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Semen Padang
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bali United – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Persija
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arema FC and Bali United.
What is the prediction for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arema FC vs Bali United?
On our numbers Arema FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bali United 33%.
How many goals will there be in Arema FC vs Bali United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our predicted score is Arema FC 1–1 Bali United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Arema FC vs Bali United?
Arema FC vs Bali United (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kanjuruhan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
