Value bet: Semen Padang to win @ 2.65 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSemen Padang to win ✓47% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSBS Biak Numfor welcome Semen Padang to Stadion Maguwoharjo for a Liga 1 fixture on Monday 9 March (14:30 WAT).
Current form
PSBS Biak Numfor, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Persik Kediri, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Semen Padang, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with PSIM Yogyakarta, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSBS Biak Numfor 1.0 xG, Semen Padang 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSBS Biak Numfor 30%, draw 23%, Semen Padang 47%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Semen Padang to win @2.65 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSBS Biak Numfor 1–1 Semen Padang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSBS Biak Numfor30%fair 3.31 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Semen Padang47%fair 2.13 · @2.65
2.85Expected goals
1.03PSBS Biak Numfor xG
1.82Semen Padang xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–06%
1–36%
From our goals model: PSBS Biak Numfor 1.0 – 1.8 Semen Padang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Semen Padang to win✓
47%
2.13
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Semen Padang (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
PSBS Biak Numfor +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Semen Padang to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Semen Padang ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Semen Padang / FT Semen Padang✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
PSBS Biak Numfor – last 4
LLDL
5 Mar
@ Persik Kediri
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–4
L
21 Feb
@ Persis Solo
1–1
D
16 Feb
@ Persita
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Semen Padang – last 3
DLL
4 Mar
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Bhayangkara FC
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Arema FC
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSBS Biak Numfor and Semen Padang.
What is the prediction for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?
On our numbers PSBS Biak Numfor have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Semen Padang 47%.
How many goals will there be in PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?
Our predicted score is PSBS Biak Numfor 1–1 Semen Padang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang?
PSBS Biak Numfor vs Semen Padang (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 9 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maguwoharjo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persib Bandung3
Persik Kediri0