Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 April the Liga 1 brings Persija against Persebaya Surabaya at Jakarta International Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Persija are 1st, leading the league, on 21 points after 9 matches; Persebaya Surabaya are 8th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Persija, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Bhayangkara FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Persebaya Surabaya, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Persita, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persija 1.6 xG, Persebaya Surabaya 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persija 58%, draw 24%, Persebaya Surabaya 17%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persija 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persija58%fair 1.71 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
Persebaya Surabaya17%fair 5.83 · @6.40
2.59Expected goals
1.65Persija xG
0.94Persebaya Surabaya xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Persija 1.6 – 0.9 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win
58%
1.71
1.45
Double chance
Persija or draw
83%
1.21
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.77
1.83
Draw no bet
Persija (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Persija to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.42
–
Recent results
Persija – last 6
LDDWWW
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Malut United
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bali United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya – last 4
WDWL
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persija and Persebaya Surabaya.
What is the prediction for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers Persija have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persebaya Surabaya 17%.
How many goals will there be in Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is Persija 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Persija vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Jakarta International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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