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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bali United v PSM Makassar: numbers & prediction

Liga 1 · Indonesia · Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium

Bali United

WWLWL
2–0
FT

PSM Makassar

WWDDL
Bali United 59%Draw 21%PSM Makassar 20% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.99
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Bali United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBali United to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceBali United or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07

Bali United vs PSM Makassar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 27 April the Liga 1 brings Bali United against PSM Makassar at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Bali United are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; PSM Makassar are 12th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Bali United, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Persita, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

PSM Makassar, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Persik Kediri, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Bali United, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for PSM Makassar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bali United 2.1 xG, PSM Makassar 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bali United 59%, draw 21%, PSM Makassar 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bali United or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Bali United to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bali United 2–0 PSM Makassar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bali United59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.45
PSM Makassar20%fair 5.06 · @3.40
3.10Expected goals
2.10Bali United xG
0.99PSM Makassar xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Bali United 2.1 – 1.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBali United to win ✓59%1.701.91 ▲
Double chanceBali United or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.621.65
Draw no betBali United (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapBali United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreBali United to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultBali United ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Bali United / FT Bali United ✓41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Bali United – last 6

WWLWLW
23 Apr@ Persita1–0W
19 Aprvs Malut United4–1W
12 Apr@ Persib Bandung2–3L
6 Aprvs PSBS Biak Numfor6–1W
12 Mar@ Persis Solo0–3L
6 Mar@ Arema FC4–3W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

PSM Makassar – last 6

WWDDLL
23 Aprvs Persik Kediri3–1W
10 Apr@ PSIM Yogyakarta2–1W
4 Aprvs Persis Solo1–1D
7 Mar@ Malut United3–3D
2 Marvs Persita2–4L
25 Feb@ Persebaya Surabaya0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bali United and PSM Makassar.

Bali United vs PSM Makassar head-to-head page →

Liga 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Persija9702+1121
2Dewa United9621+420
3Bali United9612+1719
4Persepam Madura Utd9612+619
5Persib Bandung9513+616
6Persita8431+615
7Java United9432+313
8Persebaya Surabaya9342+213
9Bhayangkara FC9261+112
10Garudayaksa9324-411
11Pusamania Borneo8314-210
12PSM Makassar9243-410
13Persik Kediri9315-510
14Arema FC9234-39
15Isenmulang Kalteng9225-126
16PSS Sleman9126-55
17PSIM Yogyakarta9126-85
18Persijap9027-132

More Liga 1 predictions

League hub
FT Persija Jakarta4 Persis Solo0 166%1.25X22%5.00212%9.50 2.2–0.9xG 1Persija Jakarta to win 66%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

On our numbers Bali United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSM Makassar 20%.

How many goals will there be in Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Our predicted score is Bali United 2–0 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Bali United vs PSM Makassar?

Bali United vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.