Value bet: Persita to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPSIM Yogyakarta to win ✗37% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.96
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSIM Yogyakarta welcome Persita to Mandala Krida Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Thursday 30 April (09:30 WAT). In the table, PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; Persita are 6th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
PSIM Yogyakarta, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Persija, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Persita, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bali United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSIM Yogyakarta 1.2 xG, Persita 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSIM Yogyakarta 37%, draw 25%, Persita 37%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Persita to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSIM Yogyakarta37%fair 2.67 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.35
Persita37%fair 2.68 · @3.00
2.58Expected goals
1.23PSIM Yogyakarta xG
1.35Persita xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: PSIM Yogyakarta 1.2 – 1.4 Persita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSIM Yogyakarta to win✗
37%
2.67
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
PSIM Yogyakarta (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
PSIM Yogyakarta +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Persita to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persita / FT Persita✓
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.96
–
Recent results
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
DLLLDD
22 Apr
vs Persija
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Persijap
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Semen Padang
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Persita – last 6
LLLLWL
23 Apr
vs Bali United
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Persik Kediri
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Arema FC
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ PSM Makassar
4–2
W
26 Feb
vs Dewa United
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSIM Yogyakarta and Persita.
What is the prediction for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
On our numbers PSIM Yogyakarta have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Persita 37%.
How many goals will there be in PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
Our predicted score is PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Mandala Krida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.