Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✓87% · @1.04
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓96% · fair 1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.92
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persebaya Surabaya welcome PSBS Biak Numfor to Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium for a Liga 1 fixture on Saturday 2 May (09:30 WAT).
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arema FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
PSBS Biak Numfor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Malut United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Persebaya Surabaya, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for PSBS Biak Numfor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persebaya Surabaya 3.3 xG, PSBS Biak Numfor 0.5 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persebaya Surabaya 87%, draw 9%, PSBS Biak Numfor 4%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persebaya Surabaya 4–0 PSBS Biak Numfor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persebaya Surabaya87%fair 1.15 · @1.04
Draw9%fair 11.19 · @9.40
PSBS Biak Numfor4%fair 24.41 · @34.00
3.85Expected goals
3.34Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.50PSBS Biak Numfor xG
52%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–013%
2–012%
4–011%
5–07%
1–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 3.3 – 0.5 PSBS Biak Numfor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
96%
1.04
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Draw no bet
Persebaya Surabaya (draw no bet)✓
96%
1.05
–
Asian handicap
Persebaya Surabaya -2 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
First team to score
Persebaya Surabaya to score first✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✗
70%
1.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
68%
1.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
14.92
–
Recent results
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WWLWDW
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSBS Biak Numfor – last 6
LLLLLL
28 Apr
vs Malut United
0–7
L
11 Apr
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–5
L
6 Apr
@ Bali United
1–6
L
9 Mar
vs Semen Padang
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Persik Kediri
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSBS Biak Numfor.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and PSBS Biak Numfor 4%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 4–0 PSBS Biak Numfor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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