Value bet: Persepam Madura Utd to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPersepam Madura Utd to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: PSIM Yogyakarta v Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1, played at Mandala Krida Stadium. In the table, PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 9 matches; Persepam Madura Utd are 4th (among the top four) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PSIM Yogyakarta, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Malut United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Persepam Madura Utd, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bhayangkara FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Persepam Madura Utd, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for PSIM Yogyakarta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSIM Yogyakarta 1.2 xG, Persepam Madura Utd 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSIM Yogyakarta 37%, draw 25%, Persepam Madura Utd 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Persepam Madura Utd to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSIM Yogyakarta37%fair 2.67 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.40
Persepam Madura Utd38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
2.66Expected goals
1.24PSIM Yogyakarta xG
1.42Persepam Madura Utd xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: PSIM Yogyakarta 1.2 – 1.4 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win✗
38%
2.65
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Persepam Madura Utd (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
PSIM Yogyakarta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Persepam Madura Utd to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepam Madura Utd / FT Persepam Madura Utd✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
WLDLLL
10 May
vs Malut United
2–0
W
30 Apr
vs Persita
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Persija
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Persepam Madura Utd – last 6
LWWLWW
11 May
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–3
L
5 May
vs Bali United
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Semen Padang
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSIM Yogyakarta and Persepam Madura Utd.
What is the prediction for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers PSIM Yogyakarta have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Persepam Madura Utd 38%.
How many goals will there be in PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd?
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandala Krida Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
