Value bet: Imigresen to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultImigresen to win44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.71
Imigresen vs Penang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 11 April: Imigresen v Penang in the Super League, played at Tuanku Syed Putra Stadium. In the table, Imigresen are 10th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; Penang are 11th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Imigresen, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Selangor, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Penang, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kelantan United, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Penang, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.8 for Imigresen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Imigresen 1.8 xG, Penang 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Imigresen 44%, draw 22%, Penang 34%.
Price worth noting: Imigresen to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imigresen 2–1 Penang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Imigresen44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Penang34%fair 2.95 · @2.30
3.20Expected goals
1.83Imigresen xG
1.37Penang xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Imigresen 1.8 – 1.4 Penang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Imigresen to win
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Imigresen (draw no bet)
56%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Penang +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Imigresen to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Imigresen / FT Imigresen
30%
3.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Imigresen – last 4
LLWL
8 Mar
@ Selangor
0–4
L
1 Mar
vs Kuching FA
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Negeri Sembilan
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Kelantan United
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Penang – last 3
WWW
11 Mar
vs Kelantan United
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Kelantan United
5–2
W
14 Feb
vs Kelantan Red Warrior FC
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imigresen and Penang.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Imigresen vs Penang?
On our numbers Imigresen have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Penang 34%.
How many goals will there be in Imigresen vs Penang?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imigresen vs Penang?
Our predicted score is Imigresen 2–1 Penang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Imigresen vs Penang?
Imigresen vs Penang (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Tuanku Syed Putra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
