BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 4 March the Regionalliga Nordost brings BSG Chemie Leipzig against Chemnitzer FC at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Chemnitzer FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 33. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 xG, Chemnitzer FC 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BSG Chemie Leipzig 23%, draw 26%, Chemnitzer FC 51%.
Lower-risk option: Chemnitzer FC or draw (77%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.66.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chemnitzer FC or draw (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Chemnitzer FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig23%fair 4.41 · @3.71
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.50
Chemnitzer FC51%fair 1.95 · @1.92
2.81Expected goals
1.13BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.68Chemnitzer FC xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 – 1.7 Chemnitzer FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chemnitzer FC to win✗
51%
1.95
1.92
Double chance
Chemnitzer FC or draw✗
77%
1.29
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.66
Draw no bet
Chemnitzer FC (draw no bet)✗
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
BSG Chemie Leipzig +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Chemnitzer FC to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 2
LL
1 Mar
vs Hallescher FC
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chemnitzer FC – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs SV Babelsberg 03
5–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
3–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BSG Chemie Leipzig and Chemnitzer FC.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our pick is Chemnitzer FC or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chemnitzer FC 51%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Chemnitzer FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ZFC Meuselwitz0
Hertha Zehlendorf1