Chemnitzer FC 33%Draw 24%Lokomotive Leipzig 43%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.48
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Chemnitzer FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 33% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotive Leipzig to win ✗43% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.65
Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotive Leipzig travel to face Chemnitzer FC on Sunday 15 February in the Regionalliga Nordost, with Stadion Chemnitz the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Chemnitzer FC are 2nd, among the top four, on 33 points after 16 matches; Lokomotive Leipzig are 9th (upper half) with 24.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chemnitzer FC 1.7 xG, Lokomotive Leipzig 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chemnitzer FC 33%, draw 24%, Lokomotive Leipzig 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Chemnitzer FC to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemnitzer FC 1–1 Lokomotive Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chemnitzer FC33%fair 3.02 · @3.75
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Lokomotive Leipzig43%fair 2.35 · @1.85
3.14Expected goals
1.65Chemnitzer FC xG
1.48Lokomotive Leipzig xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chemnitzer FC 1.7 – 1.5 Lokomotive Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotive Leipzig to win✗
43%
2.35
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Lokomotive Leipzig (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotive Leipzig +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Chemnitzer FC to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Chemnitzer FC
No recent results on record.
Lokomotive Leipzig
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemnitzer FC and Lokomotive Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
On our numbers Chemnitzer FC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotive Leipzig 43%.
How many goals will there be in Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Chemnitzer FC 1–1 Lokomotive Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chemnitz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
