BSG Chemie Leipzig v Luckenwalde Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBSG Chemie Leipzig to win ✓44% · @2.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

BSG Chemie Leipzig welcome Luckenwalde to Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark for a Regionalliga Nordost fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 16 matches; Luckenwalde are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

BSG Chemie Leipzig, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with BFC Preussen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Luckenwalde, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Altglienicke, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Luckenwalde, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for BSG Chemie Leipzig.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.5 xG, Luckenwalde 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – BSG Chemie Leipzig 44%, draw 25%, Luckenwalde 30%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Luckenwalde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

BSG Chemie Leipzig44%fair 2.25 · @2.30

Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.25

Luckenwalde30%fair 3.29 · @2.85

2.63Expected goals

1.54BSG Chemie Leipzig xG

1.09Luckenwalde xG

57%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

2–09%

0–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.5 – 1.1 Luckenwalde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	BSG Chemie Leipzig to win ✓	44%	2.25	2.30
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.70
Draw no bet	BSG Chemie Leipzig (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.68	–
Asian handicap	Luckenwalde +1 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.94	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	BSG Chemie Leipzig to score first ✓	54%	1.84	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT BSG Chemie Leipzig / FT BSG Chemie Leipzig ✓	28%	3.51	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.74	–

BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 6

DLDWLL

18 Mar	vs BFC Preussen	2–2	D
13 Mar	@ BFC Dynamo	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	2–2	D
4 Mar	vs Chemnitzer FC	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs Hallescher FC	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1–2	L

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Luckenwalde – last 3

WDD

11 Mar	@ Altglienicke	2–0	W
8 Mar	@ Hertha Zehlendorf	1–1	D
4 Mar	vs Magdeburg II	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Luckenwalde 30%.

How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Luckenwalde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Luckenwalde (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

BSG Chemie Leipzig v Luckenwalde: numbers & prediction