Luckenwalde v FSV Zwickau Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFSV Zwickau to win ✓40% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.60

Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Sunday 26 April: Luckenwalde v FSV Zwickau in the Regionalliga Nordost, played at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion. In the table, Luckenwalde are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 16 matches; FSV Zwickau are 11th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Luckenwalde, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over SV Babelsberg 03, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

FSV Zwickau, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BFC Preussen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FSV Zwickau, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Luckenwalde.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luckenwalde 1.4 xG, FSV Zwickau 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Luckenwalde 36%, draw 23%, FSV Zwickau 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luckenwalde 1–1 FSV Zwickau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luckenwalde36%fair 2.75 · @2.50

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.65

FSV Zwickau40%fair 2.48 · @2.35

2.93Expected goals

1.42Luckenwalde xG

1.51FSV Zwickau xG

62%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–18%

1–08%

2–26%

From our goals model: Luckenwalde 1.4 – 1.5 FSV Zwickau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FSV Zwickau to win ✓	40%	2.48	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	62%	1.63	1.53
Draw no bet	FSV Zwickau (draw no bet) ✓	53%	1.90	–
Asian handicap	Luckenwalde +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.77	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	FSV Zwickau to score first ✓	49%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.49	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FSV Zwickau / FT FSV Zwickau ✗	23%	4.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.60	–

Luckenwalde – last 6

WLLLWL

17 Apr	@ SV Babelsberg 03	3–2	W
7 Apr	vs Hallescher FC	1–4	L
4 Apr	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	0–1	L
28 Mar	@ BFC Preussen	1–3	L
25 Mar	@ BFC Dynamo	1–0	W
22 Mar	@ BSG Chemie Leipzig	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FSV Zwickau – last 6

WWLDWL

17 Apr	vs BFC Preussen	1–0	W
12 Apr	@ Greifswalder FC	2–1	W
8 Apr	@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena	1–5	L
5 Apr	vs BFC Dynamo	2–2	D
24 Mar	vs Hertha BSC II	2–0	W
20 Mar	@ Hallescher FC	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt	16	11	4	1	+29	37
2	Chemnitzer FC	16	10	3	3	+18	33
3	BFC Dynamo	16	9	5	2	+12	32
4	Hallescher FC	16	8	7	1	+11	31
5	Altglienicke	16	9	3	4	+12	30
6	Erzgebirge Aue	16	9	3	4	+7	30
7	FC Carl Zeiss Jena	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Greifswalder FC	16	7	5	4	+9	26
9	Lokomotive Leipzig	16	6	6	4	+3	24
10	Magdeburg II	16	6	3	7	-1	21
11	FSV Zwickau	16	5	4	7	-9	19
12	SV Babelsberg 03	16	4	4	8	-12	16
13	BFC Preussen	16	3	6	7	-3	15
14	BSG Chemie Leipzig	16	3	5	8	-7	14
15	Hertha BSC II	16	2	6	8	-15	12
16	Tasmania Berlin	16	3	2	11	-24	11
17	RSV Eintracht	16	2	3	11	-20	9
18	Luckenwalde	16	2	2	12	-20	8

Team

Pts

+29

+18

+12

+11

+12

+10

-1

-9

-12

-3

-7

-15

-24

-20

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?

On our numbers Luckenwalde have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FSV Zwickau 40%.

How many goals will there be in Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?

Our predicted score is Luckenwalde 1–1 FSV Zwickau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau?

Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Luckenwalde v FSV Zwickau: numbers & prediction