Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
St. Pauli II travel to face Phönix Lübeck on Wednesday 22 April in the Regionalliga Nord, with Stadion Buniamshof the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Phönix Lübeck are 4th, among the top four, on 34 points after 16 matches; St. Pauli II are 17th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Phönix Lübeck, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to VfB Lübeck, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
St. Pauli II, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to VfB Oldenburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Phönix Lübeck 2.4 xG, St. Pauli II 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Phönix Lübeck 67%, draw 18%, St. Pauli II 14%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Phönix Lübeck 2–1 St. Pauli II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Phönix Lübeck67%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.80
St. Pauli II14%fair 7.08 · @6.00
3.41Expected goals
2.40Phönix Lübeck xG
1.01St. Pauli II xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Phönix Lübeck 2.4 – 1.0 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phönix Lübeck to win✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Phönix Lübeck or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.48
Draw no bet
Phönix Lübeck (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Phönix Lübeck -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.36
First team to score
Phönix Lübeck to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Phönix Lübeck ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phönix Lübeck / FT Phönix Lübeck✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Phönix Lübeck – last 5
LWDLD
19 Apr
@ VfB Lübeck
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Kickers Emden
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ VfB Oldenburg
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Bremer SV
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St. Pauli II – last 5
LWLLD
19 Apr
@ VfB Oldenburg
1–4
L
29 Mar
vs HSC Hannover
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Schöningen
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs BW Lohne
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phönix Lübeck and St. Pauli II.
What is the prediction for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers Phönix Lübeck have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and St. Pauli II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is Phönix Lübeck 2–1 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Buniamshof.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
