Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Phönix Lübeck to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHamburger SV II to win ✗42% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.29
Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Regionalliga Nord brings Hamburger SV II against Phönix Lübeck at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Hamburger SV II are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; Phönix Lübeck are 4th (among the top four) with 34. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hamburger SV II, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Werder Bremen II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Phönix Lübeck, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over St. Pauli II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hamburger SV II 1.5 xG, Phönix Lübeck 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hamburger SV II 42%, draw 21%, Phönix Lübeck 37%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Phönix Lübeck to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamburger SV II 1–1 Phönix Lübeck. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hamburger SV II42%fair 2.40 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.75
Phönix Lübeck37%fair 2.68 · @3.10
3.20Expected goals
1.45Hamburger SV II xG
1.74Phönix Lübeck xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV II 1.5 – 1.7 Phönix Lübeck expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamburger SV II to win✗
42%
2.40
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Draw no bet
Hamburger SV II (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Hamburger SV II +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Phönix Lübeck to score first✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phönix Lübeck / FT Phönix Lübeck✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.29
–
Recent results
Hamburger SV II – last 6
DLWDWL
26 Apr
@ Werder Bremen II
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Kickers Emden
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Schöningen
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Altona 93
4–0
W
18 Mar
@ SSV Jeddeloh
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Phönix Lübeck – last 6
WLWDLD
22 Apr
vs St. Pauli II
3–0
W
19 Apr
@ VfB Lübeck
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Kickers Emden
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ VfB Oldenburg
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Bremer SV
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV II and Phönix Lübeck.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
On our numbers Hamburger SV II have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phönix Lübeck 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV II 1–1 Phönix Lübeck, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck?
Hamburger SV II vs Phönix Lübeck (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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