Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: TSV Steinbach to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTSV Steinbach to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 1 March: FSV Mainz 05 II v TSV Steinbach in the Regionalliga SudWest, played at Stadion am Bruchweg. In the table, FSV Mainz 05 II are 15th, lower half, on 14 points after 15 matches; TSV Steinbach are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FSV Mainz 05 II 1.5 xG, TSV Steinbach 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Mainz 05 II 38%, draw 23%, TSV Steinbach 39%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: TSV Steinbach to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Mainz 05 II 1–1 TSV Steinbach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 05 II38%fair 2.63 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65
TSV Steinbach39%fair 2.57 · @2.85
3.13Expected goals
1.50FSV Mainz 05 II xG
1.63TSV Steinbach xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 II 1.5 – 1.6 TSV Steinbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
TSV Steinbach to win✗
39%
2.57
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.45
Draw no bet
TSV Steinbach (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
FSV Mainz 05 II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
TSV Steinbach to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT TSV Steinbach / FT TSV Steinbach✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
FSV Mainz 05 II – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Stuttgarter Kickers
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
TSV Steinbach
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 II and TSV Steinbach.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and TSV Steinbach 39%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 II 1–1 TSV Steinbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach?
FSV Mainz 05 II vs TSV Steinbach (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion am Bruchweg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
