Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @ 1.68 – our chance 63% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportfreunde Siegen to win ✗63% · @1.68
Double chanceSportfreunde Siegen or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportfreunde Siegen welcome FC Bocholt to Leimbachstadion for a Regionalliga West fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Sportfreunde Siegen are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; FC Bocholt are 9th (upper half) with 21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportfreunde Siegen 2.6 xG, FC Bocholt 1.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportfreunde Siegen 63%, draw 20%, FC Bocholt 17%.
Lower-risk option: Sportfreunde Siegen or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportfreunde Siegen 2–1 FC Bocholt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportfreunde Siegen63%fair 1.58 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.95
FC Bocholt17%fair 5.99 · @3.95
3.81Expected goals
2.56Sportfreunde Siegen xG
1.25FC Bocholt xG
66%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Siegen 2.6 – 1.3 FC Bocholt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportfreunde Siegen to win✗
63%
1.58
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Sportfreunde Siegen or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
Sportfreunde Siegen (draw no bet)✗
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Sportfreunde Siegen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.22
First team to score
Sportfreunde Siegen to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sportfreunde Siegen ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportfreunde Siegen / FT Sportfreunde Siegen✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Sportfreunde Siegen – last 1
W
24 Feb
vs Paderborn II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Bocholt – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Bonner SC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportfreunde Siegen and FC Bocholt.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Siegen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Bocholt 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Siegen 2–1 FC Bocholt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs FC Bocholt (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Leimbachstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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