Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Borussia Dortmund II to win @ 2.85 – our chance 41% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Dortmund II to win ✓41% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 4 April: Borussia Dortmund II v Fortuna Köln in the Regionalliga West, played at Stadion Rote Erde.
Current form
Borussia Dortmund II, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Everton U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.
Fortuna Köln, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fortuna Düsseldorf II, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fortuna Köln, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Borussia Dortmund II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Borussia Dortmund II 1.6 xG, Fortuna Köln 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Borussia Dortmund II 41%, draw 24%, Fortuna Köln 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Borussia Dortmund II to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Borussia Dortmund II 1–1 Fortuna Köln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Borussia Dortmund II41%fair 2.43 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.75
Fortuna Köln35%fair 2.87 · @2.05
2.81Expected goals
1.63Borussia Dortmund II xG
1.18Fortuna Köln xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Borussia Dortmund II 1.6 – 1.2 Fortuna Köln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Dortmund II to win✓
41%
2.43
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
Borussia Dortmund II (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Fortuna Köln +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Borussia Dortmund II to score first✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Dortmund II / FT Borussia Dortmund II✓
29%
3.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Borussia Dortmund II – last 5
WWDLW
18 Mar
@ Everton U21
2–0
W
13 Mar
vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
4–1
W
6 Mar
@ FC Gutersloh
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Rot-weiss Oberhausen
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Bochum II
4–1
W
2.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Fortuna Köln – last 3
WWW
28 Mar
@ Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2–0
W
13 Mar
@ SSVg Velbert
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs FC Gutersloh
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Dortmund II and Fortuna Köln.
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln?
On our numbers Borussia Dortmund II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortuna Köln 35%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln?
Our predicted score is Borussia Dortmund II 1–1 Fortuna Köln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln?
Borussia Dortmund II vs Fortuna Köln (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rote Erde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fortuna Düsseldorf II2
Wuppertaler SV0
SSVg Velbert1