FC Gutersloh 64%Draw 20%Sportfreunde Lotte 16%Expected goals 2.13 – 0.82
84%
Betarazi pick
FC Gutersloh or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: FC Gutersloh to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFC Gutersloh to win ✓64% · @1.73
Double chanceFC Gutersloh or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 24 April: FC Gutersloh v Sportfreunde Lotte in the Regionalliga West, played at Heidewaldstadion. In the table, FC Gutersloh are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Sportfreunde Lotte are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FC Gutersloh, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Paderborn II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sportfreunde Lotte, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Schalke 04 II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Gutersloh 2.1 xG, Sportfreunde Lotte 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Gutersloh 64%, draw 20%, Sportfreunde Lotte 16%.
Lower-risk option: FC Gutersloh or draw (84%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: FC Gutersloh to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Gutersloh or draw (84%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Gutersloh 2–0 Sportfreunde Lotte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Gutersloh64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.75
Sportfreunde Lotte16%fair 6.17 · @3.75
2.95Expected goals
2.13FC Gutersloh xG
0.82Sportfreunde Lotte xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: FC Gutersloh 2.1 – 0.8 Sportfreunde Lotte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Gutersloh to win✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
FC Gutersloh or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Draw no bet
FC Gutersloh (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
FC Gutersloh -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
FC Gutersloh to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
FC Gutersloh ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Gutersloh / FT FC Gutersloh✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
FC Gutersloh – last 6
DDWDLL
12 Apr
vs Paderborn II
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Wiedenbrück
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Bonner SC
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Borussia Dortmund II
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs SSVg Velbert
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Fortuna Köln
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sportfreunde Lotte – last 4
LDWD
15 Apr
vs Schalke 04 II
2–5
L
4 Apr
vs Bochum II
2–2
D
27 Mar
vs SV Rodinghausen
3–0
W
21 Feb
vs Wiedenbrück
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Gutersloh and Sportfreunde Lotte.
What is the prediction for FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
Our pick is FC Gutersloh or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
On our numbers FC Gutersloh have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sportfreunde Lotte 16%.
How many goals will there be in FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
Our predicted score is FC Gutersloh 2–0 Sportfreunde Lotte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
FC Gutersloh vs Sportfreunde Lotte (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Heidewaldstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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