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Warta Sieradz v Jagiellonia II: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 1 · Poland · Stadion MOSiR
3–3
FT
Warta Sieradz 54%Draw 22%Jagiellonia II 24% Expected goals 1.82 – 1.11
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗54% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Warta Sieradz v Jagiellonia II in the III Liga Group 1, played at Stadion MOSiR. In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Jagiellonia II are 12th (lower half) with 20.

Current form

Warta Sieradz, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Troszyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Jagiellonia II, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Broń Radom, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Jagiellonia II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Warta Sieradz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 1.8 xG, Jagiellonia II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 54%, draw 22%, Jagiellonia II 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 1–1 Jagiellonia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Warta Sieradz54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.70
Jagiellonia II24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
2.94Expected goals
1.82Warta Sieradz xG
1.11Jagiellonia II xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.8 – 1.1 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWarta Sieradz to win ✗54%1.851.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.55
Draw no betWarta Sieradz (draw no bet)69%1.44–
Asian handicapJagiellonia II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreWarta Sieradz to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultWarta Sieradz ahead at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz ✗33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Warta Sieradz – last 6

LDWWLW
10 Aprvs Troszyn1–2L
4 Apr@ Legia Warszawa II1–1D
29 Marvs Swit3–1W
25 Marvs Olimpia Elbląg4–1W
20 Marvs Widzew II1–2L
28 Feb@ Mławianka Mława3–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia II – last 6

WWWLWW
19 Apr@ Broń Radom2–1W
15 Apr@ Znicz Biała Piska1–0W
3 Apr@ Wisła Płock II4–0W
22 Marvs Legia Warszawa II0–1L
7 Marvs Olimpia Elbląg3–1W
1 Mar@ Wikielec2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Warta Sieradz and Jagiellonia II.

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Weszlo161123+1435
2Wigry Suwałki161042+1634
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki16934+1030
4Swit16925+929
5Warta Sieradz16844+628
6Ząbkovia Ząbki16745+425
7Wisła Płock II16745+225
8Pelikan Łowicz16736+224
9Olimpia Zambrów16736+124
10ŁKS Łódź II16637-221
11Olimpia Elbląg16637-321
12Jagiellonia II16556-120
13Widzew II16547+219
14Polonia Lidzbark Warm.16538-218
15Lechia T. Mazowiecki16529-817
16Mławianka Mława164210-1514
17Troszyn16358-1514
18Łomża160412-204

More III Liga Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia II 24%.

How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 1–1 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?

Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.