Warta Sieradz 54%Draw 22%Jagiellonia II 24%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.11
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗54% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Thursday 30 April: Warta Sieradz v Jagiellonia II in the III Liga Group 1, played at Stadion MOSiR. In the table, Warta Sieradz are 5th, upper half, on 28 points after 16 matches; Jagiellonia II are 12th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Warta Sieradz, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Troszyn, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Jagiellonia II, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Broń Radom, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Jagiellonia II, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Warta Sieradz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Sieradz 1.8 xG, Jagiellonia II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Sieradz 54%, draw 22%, Jagiellonia II 24%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Sieradz 1–1 Jagiellonia II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Sieradz54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.70
Jagiellonia II24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
2.94Expected goals
1.82Warta Sieradz xG
1.11Jagiellonia II xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.8 – 1.1 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Sieradz to win✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Draw no bet
Warta Sieradz (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Warta Sieradz to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Warta Sieradz ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Warta Sieradz – last 6
LDWWLW
10 Apr
vs Troszyn
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa II
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Swit
3–1
W
25 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Widzew II
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Mławianka Mława
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II – last 6
WWWLWW
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Wisła Płock II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Wikielec
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Sieradz and Jagiellonia II.
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia II 24%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 1–1 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.