Jagiellonia II 36%Draw 20%Łomża 44%Expected goals 1.68 – 1.40
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Jagiellonia II to win @ 3.85 – our chance 36% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultŁomża to win ✓44% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.24
Jagiellonia II vs Łomża: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jagiellonia II welcome Łomża to Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Sunday 10 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Jagiellonia II are 12th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Łomża are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jagiellonia II, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Warta Sieradz, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia II 1.7 xG, Łomża 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia II 36%, draw 20%, Łomża 44%.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia II to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia II 1–1 Łomża. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia II36%fair 2.78 · @3.85
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.85
Łomża44%fair 2.28 · @1.67
3.08Expected goals
1.68Jagiellonia II xG
1.40Łomża xG
52%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 1.7 – 1.4 Łomża expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Łomża to win✓
44%
2.28
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Łomża (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Łomża +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Jagiellonia II to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.24
–
Recent results
Jagiellonia II – last 6
DWWWLW
30 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Wisła Płock II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Łomża
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Łomża.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Łomża 44%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia II 1–1 Łomża, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Jagiellonia II vs Łomża (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
