Broń Radom 35%Draw 22%Troszyn 42%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.49
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Broń Radom to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTroszyn to win ✗42% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.67
Broń Radom vs Troszyn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Broń Radom welcome Troszyn to Stadion Lekkoatletyczno-Piłkarski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Friday 8 May (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Broń Radom, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mławianka Mława, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Troszyn, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Znicz Biała Piska, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Troszyn, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.2 for Broń Radom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Broń Radom 1.7 xG, Troszyn 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Broń Radom 35%, draw 22%, Troszyn 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Broń Radom to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Broń Radom 1–1 Troszyn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Broń Radom35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.70
Troszyn42%fair 2.37 · @1.83
3.15Expected goals
1.66Broń Radom xG
1.49Troszyn xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Broń Radom 1.7 – 1.5 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Troszyn to win✗
42%
2.37
1.83
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Troszyn (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Troszyn +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Broń Radom to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Broń Radom / FT Broń Radom✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.67
–
Recent results
Broń Radom – last 5
LLLLD
1 May
@ Mławianka Mława
2–3
L
19 Apr
vs Jagiellonia II
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Widzew II
0–6
L
6 Mar
vs Wikielec
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Wisła Płock II
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Troszyn – last 5
WLWWW
30 Apr
vs Znicz Biała Piska
2–0
W
25 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa II
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Wasilków
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Widzew II
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Broń Radom and Troszyn.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Broń Radom vs Troszyn?
On our numbers Broń Radom have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Troszyn 42%.
How many goals will there be in Broń Radom vs Troszyn?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Broń Radom vs Troszyn?
Our predicted score is Broń Radom 1–1 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Broń Radom vs Troszyn?
Broń Radom vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lekkoatletyczno-Piłkarski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
