Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Swit to win @ 3.70 – our chance 38% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +42%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultŁomża to win ✗42% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.34
Swit vs Łomża: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Swit v Łomża in the III Liga Group 1, played at Stadion Miejski. In the table, Swit are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Łomża are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Swit, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Znicz Biała Piska, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Swit 1.9 xG, Łomża 1.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Swit 38%, draw 19%, Łomża 42%.
Price worth noting: Swit to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swit 2–1 Łomża. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Swit38%fair 2.61 · @3.70
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.90
Łomża42%fair 2.36 · @1.70
3.25Expected goals
1.86Swit xG
1.39Łomża xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Swit 1.9 – 1.4 Łomża expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Łomża to win✗
42%
2.36
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Łomża (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Łomża +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Swit to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Swit / FT Swit✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.34
–
Recent results
Swit – last 4
WLLL
9 May
@ Znicz Biała Piska
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Olimpia Elbląg
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Warta Sieradz
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Łomża – last 1
W
10 May
@ Jagiellonia II
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Swit and Łomża.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Swit vs Łomża?
On our numbers Swit have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Łomża 42%.
How many goals will there be in Swit vs Łomża?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Swit vs Łomża?
Our predicted score is Swit 2–1 Łomża, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Swit vs Łomża?
Swit vs Łomża (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bełchatów1
Legia Warszawa II2
Wikielec0
Broń Radom0