Value bet: Swit to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLechia T. Mazowiecki to win ✓47% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lechia T. Mazowiecki welcome Swit to Stadion im. Braci Gadajów for a III Liga Group 1 fixture on Sunday 17 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Swit are 4th (among the top four) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lechia T. Mazowiecki, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Troszyn, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Swit, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Łomża, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1.8 xG, Swit 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia T. Mazowiecki 47%, draw 22%, Swit 31%.
Price worth noting: Swit to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (55%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1–1 Swit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lechia T. Mazowiecki47%fair 2.12 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
Swit31%fair 3.24 · @3.60
3.48Expected goals
1.80Lechia T. Mazowiecki xG
1.68Swit xG
56%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1.8 – 1.7 Swit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia T. Mazowiecki to win✓
47%
2.12
1.75
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Lechia T. Mazowiecki (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Swit +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Lechia T. Mazowiecki to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia T. Mazowiecki / FT Lechia T. Mazowiecki✓
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Recent results
Lechia T. Mazowiecki – last 5
LDLWW
13 May
@ Troszyn
1–4
L
9 May
@ Wisła Płock II
2–2
D
2 May
vs Wigry Suwałki
1–3
L
29 Mar
vs Wikielec
3–1
W
14 Feb
vs SKRA Częstochowa
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Swit – last 5
WWLLL
13 May
vs Łomża
3–2
W
9 May
@ Znicz Biała Piska
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Olimpia Elbląg
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Warta Sieradz
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia T. Mazowiecki and Swit.
What is the prediction for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
On our numbers Lechia T. Mazowiecki have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Swit 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
Our predicted score is Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1–1 Swit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit?
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Swit (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Braci Gadajów.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wikielec1
Broń Radom1
Legia Warszawa II2