Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Polonia Środa to win @ 2.70 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPolonia Środa to win ✓43% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Środa travel to face Elana Toruń on Sunday 8 March in the III Liga Group 2, with Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Elana Toruń are 11th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Polonia Środa are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elana Toruń 1.4 xG, Polonia Środa 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elana Toruń 35%, draw 21%, Polonia Środa 43%.
Price worth noting: Polonia Środa to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elana Toruń 1–2 Polonia Środa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elana Toruń35%fair 2.84 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.75
Polonia Środa43%fair 2.30 · @2.70
3.27Expected goals
1.40Elana Toruń xG
1.86Polonia Środa xG
53%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Elana Toruń 1.4 – 1.9 Polonia Środa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✓
43%
2.30
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Polonia Środa (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Elana Toruń +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Polonia Środa to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Elana Toruń – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Warta Poznań
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Polonia Środa – last 1
W
1 Mar
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elana Toruń and Polonia Środa.
What is the prediction for Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
On our numbers Elana Toruń have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Polonia Środa 43%.
How many goals will there be in Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
Our predicted score is Elana Toruń 1–2 Polonia Środa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa?
Elana Toruń vs Polonia Środa (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
