Value bet: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @ 3.35 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLuzino to win ✓46% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓7% · fair 13.39
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 15 April: Pogoń Szczecin II v Luzino in the III Liga Group 2, played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin II, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Victoria Września, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Luzino, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Luzino, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.6 for Pogoń Szczecin II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Szczecin II 2.0 xG, Luzino 1.9 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Szczecin II 35%, draw 20%, Luzino 46%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Luzino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Szczecin II35%fair 2.90 · @3.35
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.86
Luzino46%fair 2.18 · @1.80
3.81Expected goals
1.95Pogoń Szczecin II xG
1.86Luzino xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Pogoń Szczecin II 2.0 – 1.9 Luzino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luzino to win✓
46%
2.18
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Draw no bet
Luzino (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Luzino +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.64
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.24
First team to score
Pogoń Szczecin II to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Szczecin II / FT Pogoń Szczecin II✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
7%
13.39
–
Recent results
Pogoń Szczecin II – last 5
LLWLL
12 Apr
vs Victoria Września
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
3–0
W
13 Mar
@ Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Polonia Środa
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Luzino – last 4
WWWW
3 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Polonia Środa
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Flota Świnoujście
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Szczecin II and Luzino.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino?
On our numbers Pogoń Szczecin II have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Luzino 46%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Luzino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino?
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Luzino (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
