Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the III Liga Group 2 brings Tłuchowia against Lipno Stęszew at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tłuchowia 1.7 xG, Lipno Stęszew 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tłuchowia 40%, draw 22%, Lipno Stęszew 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tłuchowia 2–1 Lipno Stęszew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tłuchowia40%fair 2.47 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.60
Lipno Stęszew37%fair 2.68 · @2.20
3.12Expected goals
1.68Tłuchowia xG
1.43Lipno Stęszew xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Tłuchowia 1.7 – 1.4 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tłuchowia to win✓
40%
2.47
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Tłuchowia (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Lipno Stęszew +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Tłuchowia to score first
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tłuchowia / FT Tłuchowia✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Tłuchowia – last 1
L
28 Feb
@ Flota Świnoujście
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Lipno Stęszew – last 2
LL
7 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Wda Świecie
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tłuchowia and Lipno Stęszew.
What is the prediction for Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Tłuchowia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lipno Stęszew 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our predicted score is Tłuchowia 2–1 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew?
Tłuchowia vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
