Luzino 63%Draw 20%Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 17%Expected goals 2.08 – 1.10
63%
Betarazi pick
Luzino to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLuzino to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce travel to face Luzino on Thursday 30 April in the III Liga Group 2, with Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Luzino, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Elana Toruń, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Luzino, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luzino 2.1 xG, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luzino 63%, draw 20%, Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 17%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Luzino to win (63%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luzino 2–1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luzino63%fair 1.60 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.50
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce17%fair 5.76 · @6.00
3.18Expected goals
2.08Luzino xG
1.10Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Luzino 2.1 – 1.1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luzino to win✓
63%
1.60
1.36
Double chance
Luzino or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Luzino (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Luzino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
–
First team to score
Luzino to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Luzino ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luzino / FT Luzino✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Luzino – last 6
WWWWWW
19 Apr
vs Elana Toruń
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
2–1
W
3 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Polonia Środa
2–1
W
6 Mar
vs Flota Świnoujście
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce – last 4
DLLL
19 Apr
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Wda Świecie
1–3
L
1 Mar
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luzino and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce.
What is the prediction for Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Our pick is Luzino to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
On our numbers Luzino have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 17%.
How many goals will there be in Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Our predicted score is Luzino 2–1 Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce?
Luzino vs Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal2