Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPogoń Szczecin II to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.86
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogoń Szczecin II welcome Kluczevia Stargard to Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 9 May (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Pogoń Szczecin II, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tłuchowia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Kluczevia Stargard, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cartusia Kartuzy, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Kluczevia Stargard, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Pogoń Szczecin II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogoń Szczecin II 1.9 xG, Kluczevia Stargard 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogoń Szczecin II 44%, draw 22%, Kluczevia Stargard 34%.
Price worth noting: Pogoń Szczecin II to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Kluczevia Stargard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogoń Szczecin II44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
Kluczevia Stargard34%fair 2.91 · @2.30
3.36Expected goals
1.92Pogoń Szczecin II xG
1.44Kluczevia Stargard xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Pogoń Szczecin II 1.9 – 1.4 Kluczevia Stargard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogoń Szczecin II to win✓
44%
2.27
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Pogoń Szczecin II (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Kluczevia Stargard +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Pogoń Szczecin II to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Pogoń Szczecin II ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogoń Szczecin II / FT Pogoń Szczecin II✗
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Pogoń Szczecin II – last 6
DDLLLW
1 May
@ Tłuchowia
3–3
D
25 Apr
vs Lech Poznań II
2–2
D
15 Apr
vs Luzino
1–2
L
12 Apr
vs Victoria Września
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kluczevia Stargard – last 6
WLWDWW
1 May
vs Cartusia Kartuzy
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Flota Świnoujście
2–3
L
28 Mar
@ Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
4–0
W
14 Mar
@ Wda Świecie
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Lech Poznań II
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Stargard Szczeciński
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogoń Szczecin II and Kluczevia Stargard.
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
On our numbers Pogoń Szczecin II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kluczevia Stargard 34%.
How many goals will there be in Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Our predicted score is Pogoń Szczecin II 2–1 Kluczevia Stargard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard?
Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
