Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the III Liga Group 2 brings Stargard Szczeciński against Noteć Czarnków at Stadion Miejski. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Stargard Szczeciński are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Noteć Czarnków, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Polonia Środa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Noteć Czarnków, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Stargard Szczeciński.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stargard Szczeciński 1.8 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stargard Szczeciński 54%, draw 22%, Noteć Czarnków 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stargard Szczeciński54%fair 1.85 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.70
Noteć Czarnków24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
2.86Expected goals
1.76Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.09Noteć Czarnków xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 1.8 – 1.1 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Noteć Czarnków +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
DWDDLL
13 May
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
0–0
D
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Elana Toruń
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 6
WLLWDW
13 May
vs Polonia Środa
2–0
W
8 May
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
1 May
@ Lipno Stęszew
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Flota Świnoujście
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stargard Szczeciński and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Noteć Czarnków 24%.
How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz4