Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 24.09
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Victoria Września welcome Lipno Stęszew to Stadion Miejski for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 23 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Victoria Września are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Lipno Stęszew are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Victoria Września, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Unia Swarzędz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lipno Stęszew, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Luzino, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Victoria Września, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Lipno Stęszew.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Września 1.6 xG, Lipno Stęszew 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Września 51%, draw 22%, Lipno Stęszew 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Września 2–1 Lipno Stęszew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria Września51%fair 1.96 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.00
Lipno Stęszew27%fair 3.69 · @3.60
2.73Expected goals
1.56Victoria Września xG
1.17Lipno Stęszew xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.6 – 1.2 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria Września to win✗
51%
1.96
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Victoria Września (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Lipno Stęszew +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Victoria Września to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
24.09
–
Recent results
Victoria Września – last 6
LWWWDW
13 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
1–2
L
1 May
vs Elana Toruń
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Tłuchowia
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Cartusia Kartuzy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lipno Stęszew – last 6
LWWDLL
17 May
vs Luzino
0–5
L
13 May
@ Kluczevia Stargard
3–0
W
1 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Polonia Środa
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Tłuchowia
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria Września and Lipno Stęszew.
What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Victoria Września have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lipno Stęszew 27%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our predicted score is Victoria Września 2–1 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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