Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✓54% · @1.57
Double chanceStargard Szczeciński or draw ✓77% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stargard Szczeciński travel to face Tłuchowia on Friday 22 May in the III Liga Group 2, with Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT.
Current form
Tłuchowia, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Lech Poznań II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Noteć Czarnków, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tłuchowia 1.3 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tłuchowia 23%, draw 23%, Stargard Szczeciński 54%.
Lower-risk option: Stargard Szczeciński or draw (77%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tłuchowia 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tłuchowia23%fair 4.39 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
Stargard Szczeciński54%fair 1.84 · @1.57
3.25Expected goals
1.34Tłuchowia xG
1.91Stargard Szczeciński xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tłuchowia 1.3 – 1.9 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✓
54%
1.84
1.57
Double chance
Stargard Szczeciński or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Tłuchowia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Tłuchowia – last 6
WLDLLW
13 May
vs Lech Poznań II
3–1
W
8 May
@ Polonia Środa
1–3
L
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
DDWDDL
17 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
1–1
D
13 May
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
0–0
D
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tłuchowia and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Tłuchowia have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stargard Szczeciński 54%.
How many goals will there be in Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Tłuchowia 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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