Value bet: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–34% · fair 25.69
Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the III Liga Group 3 brings Warta Gorzów against Karkonosze Jelenia Góra at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Warta Gorzów are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 7th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Górnik Polkowice, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Warta Gorzów 1.2 xG, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Warta Gorzów 36%, draw 24%, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 40%.
Price worth noting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Warta Gorzów 1–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Warta Gorzów36%fair 2.78 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
2.80Expected goals
1.24Warta Gorzów xG
1.57Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Warta Gorzów 1.2 – 1.6 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Warta Gorzów
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-37%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-16%
Our expected goals here
0.90
1.50
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win
40%
2.51
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Warta Gorzów +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3
4%
25.69
–
Recent results
Warta Gorzów – last 1
L
18 Mar
vs Słowianin
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 3
DDL
17 Mar
@ Górnik Polkowice
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs SKRA Częstochowa
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Ślęza Wrocław
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Gorzów and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
What is the prediction for Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
On our numbers Warta Gorzów have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 40%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Our predicted score is Warta Gorzów 1–2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
Warta Gorzów vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
