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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sparta Katowice v Górnik Zabrze II: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · Stadion Rapid
Sparta Katowice 46%Draw 23%Górnik Zabrze II 31% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.15
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultSparta Katowice to win ✗46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 20.78

Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sparta Katowice welcome Górnik Zabrze II to Stadion Rapid for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Thursday 2 April (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Sparta Katowice, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Goczałkowice Zdrój, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Górnik Zabrze II, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Słowianin, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Górnik Zabrze II, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sparta Katowice.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Katowice 1.7 xG, Górnik Zabrze II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Katowice 46%, draw 23%, Górnik Zabrze II 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Katowice 2–1 Górnik Zabrze II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sparta Katowice46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Górnik Zabrze II31%fair 3.20 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.73Sparta Katowice xG
1.15Górnik Zabrze II xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Sparta Katowice 1.7 – 1.2 Górnik Zabrze II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sparta KatowiceGórnik Zabrze II
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average+20%+24%
Goals conceded vs average-41%-12%
Our expected goals here1.800.91

Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSparta Katowice to win ✗46%2.182.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betSparta Katowice (draw no bet) ✗59%1.68–
Asian handicapGórnik Zabrze II +1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreSparta Katowice to score first57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice ✗31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5%20.78–

Recent results

Sparta Katowice – last 5

LLDWD
28 Mar@ Goczałkowice Zdrój0–1L
21 Marvs Ślęza Wrocław0–1L
18 Mar@ Carina Gubin1–1D
13 Mar@ Górnik Polkowice4–0W
7 Marvs Miedź Legnica II2–2D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Górnik Zabrze II – last 5

DWLWW
28 Marvs Słowianin2–2D
20 Mar@ Polonia Nysa2–1W
13 Mar@ Ślęza Wrocław1–2L
6 Marvs Starowice Dolne7–0W
21 Feb@ Karviná II3–0W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sparta Katowice and Górnik Zabrze II.

Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II?

On our numbers Sparta Katowice have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Górnik Zabrze II 31%.

How many goals will there be in Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II?

Our predicted score is Sparta Katowice 2–1 Górnik Zabrze II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II?

Sparta Katowice vs Górnik Zabrze II (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rapid.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.