Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultGórnik Polkowice to win ✗55% · @1.85
Double chanceGórnik Polkowice or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Górnik Polkowice welcome Goczałkowice Zdrój to Stadion Górnik for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Friday 17 April (16:00 WAT). In the table, Górnik Polkowice are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Goczałkowice Zdrój are 11th (lower half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Górnik Polkowice, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Polonia Nysa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Goczałkowice Zdrój, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Miedź Legnica II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Górnik Polkowice, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Polkowice 1.9 xG, Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Polkowice 55%, draw 23%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 22%.
Lower-risk option: Górnik Polkowice or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Górnik Polkowice or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Polkowice 1–1 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Górnik Polkowice55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Goczałkowice Zdrój22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
3.02Expected goals
1.87Górnik Polkowice xG
1.16Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.9 – 1.2 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Górnik Polkowice
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
+19%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
-3%
Our expected goals here
1.97
1.30
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Polkowice to win✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Górnik Polkowice or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Górnik Polkowice (draw no bet)
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Goczałkowice Zdrój +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Górnik Polkowice to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
WDDLWW
1 Apr
@ Polonia Nysa
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
3–3
D
17 Mar
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Starowice Dolne
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 5
LLWLW
11 Apr
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Lechia Zielona Góra
0–5
L
28 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Goczałkowice Zdrój.
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 22%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 1–1 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
