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Polonia Nysa v Lechia Zielona Góra: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · Stadion KS Polonia Nysa
Polonia Nysa 19%Draw 23%Lechia Zielona Góra 58% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.80
58%
Betarazi pick

Lechia Zielona Góra to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✓58% · @1.55
Double chanceLechia Zielona Góra or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 16.84

Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lechia Zielona Góra travel to face Polonia Nysa on Wednesday 13 May in the III Liga Group 3, with Stadion KS Polonia Nysa the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Polonia Nysa, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to SKRA Częstochowa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Lechia Zielona Góra, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Górnik Zabrze II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Lechia Zielona Góra, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Polonia Nysa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Nysa 1.0 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Nysa 19%, draw 23%, Lechia Zielona Góra 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lechia Zielona Góra to win (58%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Nysa 0–1 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Polonia Nysa19%fair 5.22 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.90
Lechia Zielona Góra58%fair 1.73 · @1.55
2.80Expected goals
1.00Polonia Nysa xG
1.80Lechia Zielona Góra xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%

From our goals model: Polonia Nysa 1.0 – 1.8 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Polonia NysaLechia Zielona Góra
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average-22%+8%
Goals conceded vs average+23%-24%
Our expected goals here1.011.68

Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✓58%1.731.55
Double chanceLechia Zielona Góra or draw ✓81%1.241.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betLechia Zielona Góra (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapPolonia Nysa +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreLechia Zielona Góra to score first ✓60%1.65–
Half-time resultLechia Zielona Góra ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lechia Zielona Góra / FT Lechia Zielona Góra ✓35%2.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6%16.84–

Recent results

Polonia Nysa – last 6

LDLLDL
1 Mayvs SKRA Częstochowa2–3L
26 Aprvs Słowianin0–0D
10 Aprvs Zagłębie Lubin II2–4L
1 Aprvs Górnik Polkowice1–2L
27 Mar@ Kluczbork1–1D
20 Marvs Górnik Zabrze II1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lechia Zielona Góra – last 4

WWDL
1 May@ Górnik Zabrze II2–0W
1 Aprvs Goczałkowice Zdrój5–0W
29 Mar@ Ślęza Wrocław0–0D
20 Mar@ SKRA Częstochowa1–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Polonia Nysa and Lechia Zielona Góra.

Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our pick is Lechia Zielona Góra to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

On our numbers Polonia Nysa have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lechia Zielona Góra 58%.

How many goals will there be in Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our predicted score is Polonia Nysa 0–1 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Polonia Nysa vs Lechia Zielona Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion KS Polonia Nysa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.