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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Zagłębie Lubin II v Carina Gubin: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Zagłębie Lubin II 61%Draw 19%Carina Gubin 20% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.14
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultZagłębie Lubin II to win ✗61% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zagłębie Lubin II welcome Carina Gubin to KGHM Zaglebie Arena for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Tuesday 12 May (16:00 WAT). In the table, Zagłębie Lubin II are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Carina Gubin are 14th (lower half) with 16.

Current form

Zagłębie Lubin II, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Starowice Dolne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Carina Gubin, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Goczałkowice Zdrój, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zagłębie Lubin II 2.2 xG, Carina Gubin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zagłębie Lubin II 61%, draw 19%, Carina Gubin 20%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zagłębie Lubin II 2–1 Carina Gubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zagłębie Lubin II61%fair 1.64 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.10
Carina Gubin20%fair 4.95 · @4.00
3.30Expected goals
2.16Zagłębie Lubin II xG
1.14Carina Gubin xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Zagłębie Lubin II 2.2 – 1.1 Carina Gubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Zagłębie Lubin IICarina Gubin
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average+16%-23%
Goals conceded vs average+11%+5%
Our expected goals here2.071.06

Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZagłębie Lubin II to win ✗61%1.641.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betZagłębie Lubin II (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapZagłębie Lubin II -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.561.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreZagłębie Lubin II to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultZagłębie Lubin II ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zagłębie Lubin II / FT Zagłębie Lubin II ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Zagłębie Lubin II – last 6

WLWLWD
8 Mayvs Starowice Dolne5–0W
1 May@ Słowianin1–2L
25 Aprvs Ślęza Wrocław2–1W
18 Aprvs Górnik Zabrze II0–5L
10 Apr@ Polonia Nysa4–2W
4 Aprvs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Carina Gubin – last 4

WLDD
1 May@ Goczałkowice Zdrój2–1W
14 Apr@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra2–3L
10 Aprvs Ślęza Wrocław1–1D
18 Marvs Sparta Katowice1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Zagłębie Lubin II and Carina Gubin.

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zaglebie Sosnowiec161213+1637
2Sparta Katowice161132+2136
3Odra Bytom Odrzański16943+631
4Zagłębie Lubin II16763+727
5ROW Rybnik16826+826
6Miedź Legnica II16727+823
7Karkonosze Jelenia Góra16655+523
8Kluczbork16727-323
9Górnik Polkowice16646+122
10Barycz Sułów15636021
11Goczałkowice Zdrój16637-221
12Stal Brzeg16547+519
13Stilon Gorzów16466-318
14Carina Gubin16448-1316
15Ślęza Wrocław164210-1214
16Warta Gorzów16358-1914
17Rakow II16349-1113
18Polonia Nysa15348-1413

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

On our numbers Zagłębie Lubin II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Carina Gubin 20%.

How many goals will there be in Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

Our predicted score is Zagłębie Lubin II 2–1 Carina Gubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin?

Zagłębie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.