Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKarkonosze Jelenia Góra to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceKarkonosze Jelenia Góra or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗7% · fair 14.23
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Nysa travel to face Karkonosze Jelenia Góra on Sunday 17 May in the III Liga Group 3, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT. In the table, Karkonosze Jelenia Góra are 7th, upper half, on 23 points after 16 matches; Polonia Nysa are 18th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Słowianin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Polonia Nysa, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lechia Zielona Góra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Polonia Nysa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2.0 xG, Polonia Nysa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 49% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 58%, draw 23%, Polonia Nysa 19%.
Lower-risk option: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Karkonosze Jelenia Góra or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2–0 Polonia Nysa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Polonia Nysa19%fair 5.23 · @3.45
3.01Expected goals
2.04Karkonosze Jelenia Góra xG
0.96Polonia Nysa xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2.0 – 1.0 Polonia Nysa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polonia Nysa
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-1%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+23%
Our expected goals here
2.08
0.82
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win✓
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra / FT Karkonosze Jelenia Góra✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
7%
14.23
–
Recent results
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – last 6
DLWLWD
13 May
@ Słowianin
2–2
D
8 May
vs Goczałkowice Zdrój
0–1
L
1 May
@ Starowice Dolne
6–1
W
18 Apr
@ Sparta Katowice
1–3
L
14 Apr
vs Carina Gubin
3–2
W
10 Apr
vs Pawłowice Śląskie
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Polonia Nysa – last 6
LLDLLD
13 May
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
0–1
L
1 May
vs SKRA Częstochowa
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Słowianin
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Zagłębie Lubin II
2–4
L
1 Apr
vs Górnik Polkowice
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Kluczbork
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and Polonia Nysa.
What is the prediction for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa?
Our pick is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa?
On our numbers Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Polonia Nysa 19%.
How many goals will there be in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa?
Our predicted score is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 2–0 Polonia Nysa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa?
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
